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Table of Contents

Some Aspects of Atmospheric Predictability.- Medium Range Forecasting at ECMWF; A Review and Comments on Recent Progress.- Current Problems in Medium Range Forecasting at ECMWF; Model Aspects.- Current Problems in Medium Range Forecasting at ECMWF; Data Assimilation Scheme.- Predictability of Time Averages: Part I: Dynamical Predictability of Monthly Means.- II: The Influence of the Boundary Forcings.- Statistical Methods for the Verification of Long and Short Range Forecasts.- Bifurcation Mechanisms and Atmospheric Blocking.- Dynamically Stable Nonlinear Structures.