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Geopolitical Alpha


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Table of Contents

Foreword by Steven Drobny vii Introduction xi Part One Scaffolding 1 Chapter 1 We're Not in Kansas Anymore 3 Chapter 2 The Constraint Framework: Three Pillars 19 Chapter 3 The Wizards of Oz 44 Part Two The Constraints 69 Chapter 4 Politics 71 Chapter 5 The Economy and the Market 103 Chapter 6 Geopolitics 142 Chapter 7 Constitutional and Legal Constraints: The Constraint-Preference Hybrids 161 Chapter 8 The Time Constraint: When Preferences Run Down the Clock 174 Part Three Operationalization 201 Chapter 9 The Art of the Net Assessment 203 Chapter 10 Game Theory - It's Not a Game! 235 Chapter 11 Geopolitical Alpha 245 Chapter 12 Conclusion 261 Acknowledgements 265 Bibliography 271 Index 279

About the Author

MARKO PAPIC is a Partner and Chief Strategist of Clocktower Group, an alternative investment management firm based in California. In 2011, he founded BCA Research's Geopolitical Strategy practice, the world's only dedicated investment consultancy focused on political analysis.

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